Why 2020 Is not 2016

You can’t even cite a poll without having someone pipe up that Hillary Clinton was ahead in the polls in 2016 too, and she lost. That’s like saying that since lightning struck a certain tree, every time it rains, it will strike that same tree.

There was a lot involved in the 2016 election that made everything come out differently than most of the polling indicated it would, including voter suppression laws working the way they were designed to, a fake “re-opening” of an investigation into Clinton causing a drop in the polling, and the actual polling contributing to voters staying home.

All of those things created a perfect storm where Trump lost the popular vote by a significant margin while squeaking by in a handful of swing states.

Let’s remember that the “polling” was going to be “wrong” in 2018 before they weren’t. The exception did not become the rule.

The 2020 situation is different than in 2016.

This time (and something that probably isn’t getting enough attention right now), Trump is under a criminal investigation, and it seems to have a lot of validity to it.

After winning in the Supreme Court, Cyrus Vance Jr., the Manhattan district attorney, will see Trump’s tax returns and other financial information which could provide for a host of criminal charges. In 2016, that…